GGOALVIO

Finland · Veikkausliiga · 4/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

vaasa PS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

vaasa PS are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ilves Tampere are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and vaasa PS hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Veikkausliiga, while vaasa PS holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

vaasa PS

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

12.8%

vaasa PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

vaasa PSLWDDD

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ilves TampereDLLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
vaasa PSIlves Tampere
46.7Attack54.4
65.0Defence45.6
50.0Form43.9
54.7Power48.5
1.66xG1.03
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