Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
vaasa PS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
vaasa PS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while ÅIFK are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and vaasa PS hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the Suomen Cup, while vaasa PS holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
vaasa PS
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
vaasa PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60