Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
VPS are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Haka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while VPS holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VPS
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
VPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60