Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
vaasa PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
vaasa PS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 4.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gnistan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.7 against 53.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Veikkausliiga, while vaasa PS holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
vaasa PS
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
14.5%
vaasa PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 24 · GA 4 · avg 4.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00