GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

V-varen Nagasaki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

V-varen Nagasaki are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and V-varen Nagasaki hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the J1 League, while V-varen Nagasaki holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

V-varen Nagasaki

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

12.4%

V-varen Nagasaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

V-varen NagasakiLDLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mito HollyhockLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
V-varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form16.7
80.3Power36.5
1.75xG1.00
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