V-varen Nagasakivs
Kyoto Sanga
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 3/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
V-varen Nagasaki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
V-varen Nagasaki are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kyoto Sanga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and V-varen Nagasaki hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the J1 League, while V-varen Nagasaki holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
V-varen Nagasaki
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
V-varen Nagasaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00