V-varen Nagasakivs
Ehime FC
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 8/26/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
V-varen Nagasaki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
V-varen Nagasaki 3-2 Ehime FC
Original prediction
V-varen Nagasaki
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 73.7% | 47.1% | -26.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.61 | 16.3% | 25.5% | 9.2 pts |
| Away | 9.08 | 10.1% | 27.4% | 17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
V-varen Nagasaki
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
V-varen Nagasaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40