V-varen NagasakivsAvispa Fukuoka

V-varen Nagasaki are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Avispa Fukuoka are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the J1 League, while V-varen Nagasaki holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.