Uzbekistan Wvs
Hong Kong W
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games Women · 9/21/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uzbekistan W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uzbekistan W 2-1 Hong Kong W
Original prediction
Uzbekistan W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 75.4% | 51.2% | -24.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.62 | 16.0% | 24.2% | 8.2 pts |
| Away | 10.55 | 8.5% | 24.6% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Uzbekistan W
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Uzbekistan W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60