Uzbekistanvs
Syria
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uzbekistan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uzbekistan 4-1 Syria
Original prediction
Uzbekistan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 67.7% | 53.5% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 21.1% | 24.0% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 8.22 | 11.2% | 22.5% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Uzbekistan
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Uzbekistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80