Uzbekistan U23vs
Saudi Arabia U23
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games · 9/25/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uzbekistan U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uzbekistan U23 3-0 Saudi Arabia U23
Original prediction
Uzbekistan U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.9% | 43.1% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.2% | 27.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 5.05 | 17.9% | 29.3% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Uzbekistan U23
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Uzbekistan U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60