Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uxbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Uxbridge are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Yate Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Uxbridge hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Uxbridge holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uxbridge
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Uxbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00