Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uxbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Uxbridge are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sholing are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Uxbridge hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Uxbridge holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uxbridge
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Uxbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80