Uxbridgevs
Malvern Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uxbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (12%), 3-0 (12%), 5-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uxbridge 3-0 Malvern Town
Original prediction
Uxbridge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.1% | 80.2% | 20.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.4% | 11.6% | -9.9 pts |
| Away | 4.90 | 18.4% | 8.3% | -10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–012%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.5–010%
Predicted outcome
Uxbridge
Probability
80.2%
Model confidence
80.2%
Uxbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80