Uxbridgevs
Chichester City
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uxbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uxbridge 5-0 Chichester City
Original prediction
Uxbridge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.3% | 41.8% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.1% | 27.8% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.6% | 30.4% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Uxbridge
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Uxbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20