Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uxbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Uxbridge are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bath City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Uxbridge hold a 55.2-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Uxbridge holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uxbridge
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Uxbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40