Uxbridgevs
Basingstoke Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uxbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uxbridge 2-1 Basingstoke Town
Original prediction
Uxbridge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 52.1% | 63.6% | 11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.3% | 19.6% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.6% | 16.8% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Uxbridge
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
Uxbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80