GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia State League 1 · 4/6/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sorrento · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

UWA Nedlands are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Sorrento are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sorrento hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (67.8 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Sorrento holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sorrento

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Sorrento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UWA NedlandsWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 5.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
SorrentoDWDDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UWA NedlandsSorrento
74.6Attack100.0
60.3Defence79.4
69.8Form93.7
67.8Power88.7
1.36xG2.09
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