Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uttaradit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uttaradit 1-1 Satun
Original prediction
Uttaradit
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.0% | 41.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.2% | 27.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.7% | 31.2% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Uttaradit
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Uttaradit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UttaraditWWDWD
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SatunWLWWL
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UttaraditSatun
73.3Attack80.0
53.3Defence40.0
73.3Form60.0
69.5Power60.3
2.15xG1.58