Uttaraditvs
Nong Bua Pitchaya
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uttaradit · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uttaradit 2-2 Nong Bua Pitchaya
Original prediction
Uttaradit
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.6% | 39.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.7% | 28.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.6% | 32.0% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Uttaradit
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Uttaradit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20