GGOALVIO

Thailand · Thai League 2 · 10/24/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Uttaradit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Uttaradit 2-0 Nakhon Pathom

Original prediction

Uttaradit

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6853.7%44.7%-9.0 pts
Draw3.5325.6%27.9%2.3 pts
Away4.3620.7%27.4%6.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Uttaradit

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Uttaradit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UttaraditLDWWD

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Nakhon PathomLWLWD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UttaraditNakhon Pathom
66.7Attack38.1
47.6Defence57.1
57.1Form47.6
59.6Power50.4
1.78xG1.11
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