Uttaraditvs
Muangthong United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muangthong United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uttaradit 0-0 Muangthong United
Original prediction
Muangthong United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.70 | 24.5% | 34.8% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.4% | 28.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.85 | 49.1% | 37.1% | -12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Muangthong United
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Muangthong United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20