GGOALVIO

Thailand · Thai League 2 · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Uttaradit · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Uttaradit 4-3 Chanthaburi

Original prediction

Uttaradit

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3338.5%40.9%2.4 pts
Draw3.1228.8%29.0%0.2 pts
Away2.7532.7%30.1%-2.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Uttaradit

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Uttaradit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UttaraditDWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.33/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
ChanthaburiWDLDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
UttaraditChanthaburi
44.4Attack22.2
77.8Defence88.9
55.6Form44.4
60.9Power53.1
1.24xG0.89
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