Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tvååker · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Utsikten 1-4 Tvååker
Original prediction
Tvååker
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.53 | 16.3% | 15.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.62 | 19.5% | 19.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 64.1% | 65.1% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Tvååker
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Tvååker has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UtsiktenLLLWL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TvååkerDDLLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
UtsiktenTvååker
29.5Attack43.2
19.2Defence49.4
15.4Form43.2
24.7Power48.2
0.90xG2.06