GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/2/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utsikten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Utsikten are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Skövde AIK are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Utsikten hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.9% in the Superettan, while Utsikten holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Utsikten

Probability

61.9%

Model confidence

61.9%

Utsikten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UtsiktenDWLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Skövde AIKLDLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
UtsiktenSkövde AIK
55.6Attack49.0
65.6Defence43.8
61.1Form38.5
60.8Power44.9
2.12xG0.88
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