Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lund · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Utsikten 1-1 Lund
Original prediction
Lund
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.55 | 10.7% | 22.5% | 11.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.38 | 16.9% | 25.0% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 72.4% | 52.5% | -19.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Lund
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Lund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UtsiktenLLDDL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LundWWLDL
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UtsiktenLund
0.0Attack53.3
33.3Defence64.4
0.0Form61.1
15.3Power61.0
0.91xG1.65