Utsiktenvs
Jonkopings Sodra
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jonkopings Sodra · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Utsikten 3-0 Jonkopings Sodra
Original prediction
Jonkopings Sodra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.11 | 14.7% | 28.4% | 13.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 21.7% | 27.0% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 63.5% | 44.6% | -18.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Jonkopings Sodra
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Jonkopings Sodra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60