Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: UTS Rabat 0-0 FUS Rabat, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
UTS Rabat 2-1 FUS Rabat
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 30.5% | 34.8% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.72 | 33.0% | 33.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.5% | 32.0% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Projected Score
UTS Rabat 0–0 FUS Rabat
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.1%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UTS RabatWDWWD
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FUS RabatLDWLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
UTS RabatFUS Rabat
40.0Attack35.6
63.3Defence68.9
48.9Form47.8
52.9Power52.1
0.80xG0.71