Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utrecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Utrecht are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Zrinjski are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.9 against 48.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Utrecht holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Utrecht
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Utrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20