Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Utrecht

Utrecht

Home
L
32
Full time
V-varen Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

Away
WL
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Utrecht34%
V-varen Nagasaki31%
Prediction missed— Result: V-varen Nagasaki
Win probability
Utrecht
34%
Draw
35%
V-varen Nagasaki
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Utrecht
9
V-varen Nagasaki
54
Defence
Utrecht
27
V-varen Nagasaki
46
Momentum
Utrecht
0
V-varen Nagasaki
50
Danger (xG)
Utrecht
0.00
V-varen Nagasaki
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Utrecht)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (V-varen Nagasaki)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Utrecht)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (V-varen Nagasaki)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
UtrechtUtrecht
LW
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
WLD

Probability breakdown

35% confidence
Utrecht34%
Draw35%
V-varen Nagasaki31%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Utrecht head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while V-varen Nagasaki arrive in mixed form (WL). Utrecht have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for V-varen Nagasaki over 2 games.

Tactically, V-varen Nagasaki hold the edge. Their decent attack (54/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Utrecht defence (27/100), while Utrecht's attack faces a average V-varen Nagasaki backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Utrecht have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. V-varen Nagasaki have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

V-varen Nagasaki have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 35% confidence. Win probabilities: Utrecht 3379%, Draw 3500%, V-varen Nagasaki 3121%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Utrecht 0Draws 01 V-varen Nagasaki
Avg goals: 2.0
17 Jul 2026
Utrecht
L02
V-varen Nagasaki

Recent form

Utrecht

Utrecht

L
vs V-varen Nagasaki
17 Jul 2026
02
W
vs Fortuna Sittard
17 May 2026
20
V-varen Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

W
@ Utrecht
17 Jul 2026
20
L
@ NEC Nijmegen
14 Jul 2026
13
D
vs Vissel Kobe
17 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Utrecht vs V-varen Nagasaki?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 35% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs V-varen Nagasaki?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Utrecht vs V-varen Nagasaki?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Utrecht vs V-varen Nagasaki?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more