Utrechtvs
Sheriff Tiraspol
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/31/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utrecht · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Utrecht are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sheriff Tiraspol are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Utrecht hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 33.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Utrecht holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Utrecht
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Utrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60