Utrechtvs
PSV Eindhoven
SCHEDULEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 8/30/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSV Eindhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Utrecht are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while PSV Eindhoven are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and PSV Eindhoven hold a 48.5-point power-rating edge (16.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Eredivisie, while PSV Eindhoven holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PSV Eindhoven
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
10.9%
PSV Eindhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80