Utrechtvs
PSV Eindhoven
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 8/30/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSV Eindhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Utrecht 1-6 PSV Eindhoven
Original prediction
PSV Eindhoven
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.84 | 19.4% | 25.0% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 20.3% | 22.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 60.3% | 52.4% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
PSV Eindhoven
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
PSV Eindhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40