GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 8/30/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PSV Eindhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Utrecht are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while PSV Eindhoven are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and PSV Eindhoven hold a 48.5-point power-rating edge (16.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Eredivisie, while PSV Eindhoven holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PSV Eindhoven

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

10.9%

PSV Eindhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UtrechtLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PSV EindhovenWDWLW

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
33.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form66.7
16.3Power64.8
1.35xG1.95
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