Utrechtvs
PEC Zwolle
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 10/24/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utrecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Utrecht 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Original prediction
Utrecht
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.8% | 19.1% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.67 | 20.1% | 23.8% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Utrecht
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Utrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80