GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/11/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nottingham Forest · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Utrecht are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nottingham Forest are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Nottingham Forest holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nottingham Forest

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Nottingham Forest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UtrechtDDLDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Nottingham ForestLWLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
UtrechtNottingham Forest
45.2Attack50.0
54.8Defence66.7
40.5Form56.3
47.9Power57.9
0.94xG1.28
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