Utrechtvs
GO Ahead Eagles
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 9/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GO Ahead Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Utrecht 3-3 GO Ahead Eagles
Original prediction
GO Ahead Eagles
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 44.8% | 33.0% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 25.3% | 23.1% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 29.9% | 44.0% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
GO Ahead Eagles
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
GO Ahead Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80