Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utrecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Utrecht are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Porto are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.9 against 49.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Utrecht holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Utrecht
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Utrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00