Utrechtvs
De Graafschap
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 6/27/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utrecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Utrecht are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while De Graafschap are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Utrecht hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Utrecht holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Utrecht
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Utrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00