Uthai Thanivs
Rasi Salai United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uthai Thani · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uthai Thani 4-2 Rasi Salai United
Original prediction
Uthai Thani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.6% | 54.7% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 22.9% | 23.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.45 | 16.5% | 21.7% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Uthai Thani
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Uthai Thani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80