GGOALVIO

Lithuania · Cup · 4/14/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jonava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Utenos Utena are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 5.50 conceded, while Jonava are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jonava hold a 57.8-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Cup, while Jonava holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jonava

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

7.2%

Jonava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Utenos UtenaLL

GF 0 · GA 11 · avg 0.00/5.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
JonavaWWDLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Utenos UtenaJonava
0.0Attack75.0
0.0Defence41.7
0.0Form75.0
7.0Power64.8
1.96xG2.78
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