Utebovs
SD Logroñés
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utebo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Utebo 1-1 SD Logroñés
Original prediction
Utebo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.2% | 41.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.0% | 28.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 29.8% | 29.7% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Utebo
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Utebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00