GGOALVIO

UTC logoUTCvsUniversitario logoUniversitario

SCHEDULED

Peru · Primera División · 8/29/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

UTC Cajamarca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Universitario are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.2% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

15.2%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UTCDLDLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UniversitarioDLWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
UTCUniversitario
38.1Attack46.0
46.0Defence68.3
31.7Form57.1
41.3Power58.7
0.73xG1.44
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