UTCvs
Universitario
SCHEDULEDPeru · Primera División · 8/29/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
UTC Cajamarca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Universitario are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.2% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universitario
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
15.2%
Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00