Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cusco · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
UTC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cusco are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cusco hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Primera División, while Cusco holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cusco
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
13.4%
Cusco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80