UTCvs
Comerciantes Unidos
SCHEDULEDPeru · Primera División · 8/22/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Comerciantes Unidos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
UTC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Comerciantes Unidos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and comerciantes Unidos hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring Comerciantes Unidos with 14.4% confidence, a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Comerciantes Unidos
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
14.4%
Comerciantes Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60