Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cienciano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
UTC are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Cienciano are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Primera División, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cienciano
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00