UTCvs
Atletico Grau
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 1/30/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
UTC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atletico Grau are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Grau hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80