UTCvsAlianza Atletico

UTC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alianza Atletico are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Atletico hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Primera División, while Alianza Atletico holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.