UTC Cajamarcavs
Universitario
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 8/29/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UTC Cajamarca 2-4 Universitario
Original prediction
Universitario
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.46 | 26.6% | 18.2% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.3% | 24.0% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 45.1% | 57.8% | 12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Universitario
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20