GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 4/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UTC Cajamarca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

UTC Cajamarca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sport Huancayo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Huancayo hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Primera División, while UTC Cajamarca holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UTC Cajamarca

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

13.9%

UTC Cajamarca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UTC CajamarcaLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sport HuancayoDLLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UTC CajamarcaSport Huancayo
38.1Attack42.9
46.0Defence46.0
31.7Form36.5
41.3Power43.8
1.31xG1.28
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