GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

UTC Cajamarca are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sport Boys are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Boys hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.4% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

19.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UTC CajamarcaLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sport BoysWDLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
UTC CajamarcaSport Boys
38.1Attack30.2
46.0Defence66.7
31.7Form42.9
41.3Power48.6
0.80xG0.91
View match centre →