UTC Cajamarcavs
Juan Pablo II College
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UTC Cajamarca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UTC Cajamarca 1-2 Juan Pablo II College
Original prediction
UTC Cajamarca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.8% | 42.1% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.0% | 24.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 22.1% | 33.2% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
UTC Cajamarca
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
UTC Cajamarca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40